New York Yankees: Odds Not Good Of Jeter Reaching 3000 Hits In The Bronx New York Yankees: Odds Not Good Of Jeter Reaching 3000 Hits In The Bronx New York Yankees: Odds Not Good Of Jeter Reaching 3000 Hits In The Bronx
 

New York Yankees: Odds Not Good Of Jeter Reaching 3000 Hits In The Bronx

How Have Things Been Going At Yankee Stadium?

Since returning home, the New York Yankees have not had much luck.

After being swept by the Boston Red Sox, reliever Joba Chamberlain found out that he needed Tommy John surgery. The next day, starting pitcher Bartolo Colon was added to the Yankees ever-growing disabled list initially for just 15 days, but with a strained left hamstring and being 38-years-old it could take Colon longer, as it is a tricky injury to heal.

In the wake of a second Red Sox embarrassment in a month, the Yankees decided to play baseball again and the perfect time for the stumbling Cleveland Indians to come to the Bronx for a four game set.

The Indians had a hot start about two seasons too early. Now that reality has set in and the Tigers and White Sox have woken up the Indians reign atop the AL Central is about to end.

The Yankees have smacked the Tribe around, winning three in a row, and hoping to complete a four-game sweep on Monday night. The Yankees need to stay in the hunt, as they stay two games behind Boston and don’t want that gap to grow.

There are four games left in this home-stand, one remaining against the Tribe, followed by three games against the Texas Rangers and all eyes will be on the Captain Derek Jeter.

As any sports fan knows, Jeter is seven hits (2993) away from joining the elite 3000-hits club. Jeter’s name will be added to a list that dons just 27 other players in the history of the game, but what makes this more meaningful is he will be the first Yankee to do it.

How badly do Jeter, his teammates and especially the Yankee fans want the Captain to get his 3000th hit at home?

To say severely would be an understatement, because it should really happen in the Bronx where Jeter has played his entire career and in front of the city that worships him.

In addition, Yankee Stadium could use a boost because unlike in the past, “home” has not been much of an advantage in 2011 like it has in the past.

After Thursday afternoon’s match-up against the Rangers the Yankees hit the road for some inter-league play against the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, so it is now or never for the Captain.

Can Jeter get seven hits in four games to reach 3000 at Yankee Stadium?

Well, forecasting the mental aspect is something Jeter himself probably doesn’t know, but why not try to see if history equates into predicting the future.

Looking back on September 2009, when Jeter passed Lou Gehrig for most Yankee hits, he went cold for three games in a row, at home and all three were team wins before he tied it.

Here is a quick reference chart I made after reading stats on my favorite stats site BaseballReference.com:

DATE HITS TEAM RESULT
September 6, 2009 3 2715 8-14 vs. Blue Jays (L)
September 7, 2009 (1) 0 2718 4-1 vs. Rays (W)
September 7, 2009 (2) 0 2718 11-2 vs. Rays (W)
September 8, 2009 0 2718 3-2 vs. Rays (W)
September 9, 2009 3 2721* 4-2 vs. Rays (W)
September 11, 2009 2 2723** 4-10 vs. Orioles (L

*ties record on 3rd hit ** breaks record by 2 hits

The above shows that the Captain is human and got nervous at four hits away, but once that passed he did it without a hitch. So, if this indicates anything his 3000th hit will happen Saturday, June 18th in Chicago.

Please note that comparing breaking Gehrig’s record is a far-fetched measure to what will happen this week with Jeter. You have to realize that it is not common for a player to have one milestone in his career, so with Jeter having one less than two years ago is remarkable.

Without question this accomplishment should overwhelm the Captain because it is that monumental.

In turn, the timing might not give Yankee fans the chance to see it in person.

I will be at three of the four next Yankee games, in hopes of witnessing history.

I grew up with Jeter and couldn’t think of a player more worthy of being the first New York player to be on such an elite list.

No matter when or where that 3000th hit happens, doesn’t change whom The Captain plays for, or the #2 on his Yankee uniform.

As the great Martin Luther King, Jr. once said:

“The time is always right to do what is right.”-Martin Luther King, Jr.

2011 Season = #28= Everything Yankees?

Hey…maybe the #28 could become a trend for the Yankees in 2011?

Jeter, the Captain will be the 28th player on the 3000-hit list, so why shouldn’t the team follow and win the Yankees their 28th World Series Championship?

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