As I was throwing out papers today, I came across the reasons the Yankees were doomed to lose the first game of their series against the Twins.
The notes were a mess; as I had written them late on Sunday night but my reasoning actually turned out to be pretty accurate so I thought why not pass it along. So, here it is just a day and a dollar short….
The Yankees have literally manhandled the Twins posting a 23-4 record since 2009 including sweeping Minnesota in the 2009 and 2010 ALDS.
Still, that was when the Twins were still a contending playoff team, but that has not been the case since last season so winning all four games this week would seem like a no-brainer, right?
Well, not exactly because Monday night the Yankees had all the odds you don’t want stacked against them, almost guaranteeing they would lose.
What the heck am I talking about?
Here is what I took into account before the first pitch was thrown on Monday night.
2) I find that when a new opponent comes to town after just being swept, the players tend to step it up a bit as they have a chip on their shoulders. The Twins flew in after just being swept in Arlington by the Rangers, add that to their history of losing to the Yankees and you have a team with a lot of incentives to win.
3) The Yankees have a bad history when playing back-to-back ESPN games, as when they win on Sunday, they tend to lose on Monday.
4) Also, I did not like the pitching match-up of Twins Carl Pavano and Yankees Freddy Garcia. Pavano has a decent track record vs. the Yankees; and in his first start Garcia couldn’t get out of the fourth inning vs. the Orioles. He gave up four runs; three walks and managed just three strikeouts. So, I have yet to find that loving feeling for Freddy.
The Yankees are now tied with the Twins at one game a piece, so tonight’s game is a must win because Hughes is on the mound tomorrow. The Yankees bats will have to score around eight runs, or else Hughes is toast.