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Yankees: My season preview struggles

2014 Yankees Boom or Bust

2014 Yankees Season – Boom or Bust?

For the first time since I started back in 2009, I cannot get a feel for the how the New York Yankees will fair in the upcoming season.

I should be starting my 2014 team preview and prediction, but instead I am struggling somewhere between distrust and devotion.

The hopes of this team are riding heavily on Derek Jeter, Mark Teixeira and CC Sabathia; all older players, all coming back from injuries.

And if the Yankees plan to be playing deep into October this season, they need all three to put up numbers closely to what they did in their primes.

The Yankees infield no longer has the added luxuries of Robinson Cano and Alex Rodriguez to fortify things if Jeter or Tex goes down. Brian Roberts and Kelly Johnson aren’t equipped to deal.

As for Sabathia, the Yankees pay him to be their ace, not Hiroki Kuroda, Masahiro Tanaka or Ivan Nova. Continue reading ‘Yankees: My season preview struggles’ »

Yankees: Premature postseason predictions are not promising, Baseball Prospctus and top baseball sabermetrician Clay Davenport predictions all assert that the 2014 New York Yankees fate is destined to follow in last season’s footsteps.

Translation…there will once again be no postseason baseball played in the Bronx comes October.

2014 New York Yankees - Season Predictions
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Fangraphs gave the Yankees a 33.4% chance of making the postseason, and a 2.9% possibility of winning the 2014 World Series.

Baseball Prospectus infamous PECOTA postseason projections will not be shared until the regular season starts. But with BP’s project low of 82 wins, the percentage will not be greater than 25.

All three projected a positive run differential for the 2014 Yankees. At least that is an improvement from last season’s -21 RD, but not significant enough to offer fans much comfort.

The reason is the Yankees had a run differential in 2012 of 136, 210 in 2011, 166 in 2010, 162 in 2009 and 62 in 2008. Continue reading ‘Yankees: Premature postseason predictions are not promising’ »

Yankees: Pineda over Phelps pretty please

The New York Yankees, like many other ball clubs, are holding a Spring Training competition for the 5th rotation spot.

Michael Pineda - Seattle - 2011 Alternate

Michael Pineda – Seattle – 2011 Alternate (Photo credit: BaseballBacks)

The battle is between David Phelps, Michael Pineda, Vidal Nuno and Adam Warren.

Manny Banuelos, a once top pitching prospect who had Tommy John surgery in 2012 is going to start the season in Triple A, which

Even though skipper Joe Girardi won’t name the 5th starter until the end of Spring Training, my guess is Phelps and Pineda are the two major candidates.

Phelps does have a slight edge due to Pineda’s health.

Pineda was traded from the Mariners to the Yankees following an all-star rookie campaign in 2011 when he led MLB rookies in strikeouts (173) and was second in innings pitched (171), opponents’ batting average (.211) and quality starts (19). Continue reading ‘Yankees: Pineda over Phelps pretty please’ »

Yankees: Sorry my offseason report card got lost in the mail

First let me apologize for the delay, as I forgot to post this article a week ago, but as the saying goes better late than never.

English: Image courtesy of Keith Allison on Fl...

English: Image courtesy of Keith Allison on Flickr. New York Yankees v/s Baltimore Orioles 08/31/09. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Let’s pretend that the New York Yankees got graded on the off-season, what would you give them?

I would hand the Yankees a C+.

Now that might seem like a low-grade, if you only contemplate the amount of money the Yankees spent, as obviously that gets an A+.

But how the Yankees spent all that money, and still ended up with holes at numerous positions spells R-E-C-K-L-E-S-S to me.

Looking at the last free-for-all spending spree back in the 2009 off-season the obvious difference was how well the money was spent.

The only position battle heading into 2009 Spring Training was filling the back-end of the starting rotation, which is not uncommon for most teams.

The Yankees blew past the $189 million for Masahiro Tanaka but would not budge for Robinson Cano. Continue reading ‘Yankees: Sorry my offseason report card got lost in the mail’ »

Yankees: Dream start to prediction nightmare literally

Last night, I was exhausted.

The Captain - "I'm melting."

The Captain – “I’m melting.”

My girlfriends and I took this crazy cross-fit class that didn’t end until 8pm.

I barely had enough energy to take a shower, so I was out like a light the moment I crawled into bed.

And from the second my eyes shut, the 2014 New York Yankees were all I seemed to be dreaming about.

During my slumber, I was attending games at Yankee Stadium and sitting in seats where I could lean my elbows on the New York dugout.

The games were very fast, one or two inning at the most. But what was so enjoyable was the Yankees didn’t lose one game.

One victory ended in dramatic walk-off fashion causing such excitement that Yankees fans started storming the field.

And that is when my dream took a turn for the worst.

The Yankees fans were so frantic to get on the diamond it turned into a literal stampede that marched right on top of me.

When the chaos finally subdued, I stood up and brushed myself off only to realize that another baseball game was playing on the field. Continue reading ‘Yankees: Dream start to prediction nightmare literally’ »

Yankees: Brett Gardner’s new deal is exception to the rule

It is a safe bet that this past weekend was one, if not the best in New York Yankees Brett Gardner baseball life.

Brett Gardner makes a outstretched catch durin...

Brett Gardner makes a outstretched catch during a game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles on April 24, 2011. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The Yankees handed the speedy outfielder a 4-year, $52 million with a 5th year club option $12.5M or $2M buyout. The deal does not have a no-trade clause so that door is still very much open, but if the Yankees do send Gardner elsewhere he gets a $1 million goodbye gift.

Gardner is a good, gritty player who can steal bases and is a solid defender when healthy but this did not change where the Yankees rank on MLB Futures odds at TopBet Sportsbook.

The 2005 third round pick, Gardner was set to become a free agent at the end of the 2014 season, but the Yankees obviously did not want that.

Actually, Gardner has become rarefied air in the Bronx. After the departure of Robinson Cano to the Mariners, Gardner is one of the last homegrown position players the Yankees still have on their 40-man roster.  Continue reading ‘Yankees: Brett Gardner’s new deal is exception to the rule’ »