Let’s take a look at game two’s match-up:
Tampa Bay Rays: Matt Garza (11-5)
Garza likes pitching at home, even if home is Tropicana Field. At the Trop Garza has a .230 OBA against batters with runners in scoring position.
This season Garza has a 4.06 ERA in 128 innings. He has allowed 118 hits, 58 earned runs, giving up 18 homeruns and 41 walks. Four of the homeruns were given up on July 20 against the worst team in baseball, the Baltimore Orioles. Garza has also thrown two complete games and a no-hitter.
Garza relies a lot on his fastball, as he threw it 99 out 120 pitches during his historic no-hitter. Well, why stop what seems to be working as in his last three starts Garza 2-0, going 21 innings, with a 2.95 ERA with 13 strikeouts and only walking two batters.
Garza might not find success against a hot Yankees line-up, who tend to hit fastballs out of the park. Garza needs to throw a variety of pitches to keep the Bombers on their toes, or it will be ugly.
New York Yankees: Javier Vazquez (9-7)
Javier Vazquez has turned his season around after a horrible April. Finally, Vazquez is that durable pitcher the Yankees wanted in the rotation.
Vazquez’s 4.54 ERA for the season is not reflective of how he is currently pitching. He has pitched 107 innings, giving up 92 hits, 54 earned runs, 118 homers and 41 walks. Vazquez and Garza are well matched looking at stats only.
For the month of July Vazquez has been solid, posting a 2.77 ERA.
Garza has posted a 3.96 ERA for July and that includes his no-hitter. Vazquez pitches well in domes and I think this is Vazquez’s night.
Yankees beat Rays 5-3
Vazquez gets the win.
Garza takes the loss.
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